{"id":48201,"date":"2025-11-21T12:15:51","date_gmt":"2025-11-21T19:15:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newmexicopbs.org\/productions\/newmexicoinfocus\/?p=48201"},"modified":"2025-11-21T12:15:53","modified_gmt":"2025-11-21T19:15:53","slug":"future-drought-will-likely-change-large-migratory-bird-patterns-to-new-mexico","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newmexicopbs.org\/productions\/newmexicoinfocus\/future-drought-will-likely-change-large-migratory-bird-patterns-to-new-mexico\/","title":{"rendered":"Future drought will likely change large migratory bird patterns to New Mexico"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

by Bryce Dix, KUNM News<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This story<\/a> was originally published at KUNM<\/a>, a NMPBS partner.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Three
A group of sandhill cranes fly over the Rio Grande Nature Center State Park. Photo by Katie Conley.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\n
<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

If you live in the Rio Grande Valley, you have probably heard heard the strange croaks of the sandhill crane or the honk of the Ross\u2019s goose overhead when out for a walk along the river.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

That\u2019s because, in the fall and winter, tens of thousands of large migratory geese, cranes, and other water fowl nesting in Alaska, Canada, and the northern United States fly south to roost and forage for food.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cIt just gets cold up there,\u201d said Tucker Davidson, who primarily works with Audubon Southwest on expanding riparian restoration projects with the aim of improving water availability for birds. \u201cThey need soft soil that they can probe their bills into to find invertebrates that aren\u2019t totally frozen over.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Davidson said that migratory birds look for a combination of wetlands or flooded fields with nearby sources of food to tide them over until they ultimately head back north to nest in the spring.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As it happens, Albuquerque lies in the middle of one of the four major migratory bird corridors in the United States. Beginning in North Dakota, the so-called central flyway pushes birds from north to south \u2013 utilizing portions of the Rio Grande as a sky highway that naturally funnels birds down to New Mexico.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Map
Map: Bryce Dix. Source: EPA\/University of Oklahoma. Created with Datawrapper.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

It\u2019s pathways like these that are much more preferable than the seemingly indistinguishable prairies and grasslands in other parts of the country. By using the Rio Grande, birds can use unique visual clues like the mountains and the river\u2019s winding ribbons as a guide. There are also other benefits that attract birds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cEverything needs water on their way south,\u201d Davidson said. \u201cSome of these trips are really, really long. Especially for large migratory birds, they are cuing in on the wetlands along the river.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Currently, New Mexico is experiencing its driest 20-year period in the last 1200 years<\/a>, often referred to as a \u201cmegadrought\u201d by scientists.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Drought has consequential effects that directly impact birds<\/a> by causing bouts of dehydration or hypothermia, and reducing the availability of insects, vegetation, and fruits that birds rely on for nutrients.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And conditions for the future are not looking any better. Climate modeling estimates that New Mexico will have significantly less snowfall and, therefore, runoff to fill the Rio Grande \u2013 one of the main travel corridors for these birds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Line
Chart: Bryce Dix. Source: USGS Nation Climate Change Viewer. Created with Datawrapper.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Snowpack is a crucial piece of the climate puzzle for understanding how much water will be in the state\u2019s rivers and streams. For example, models run by KUNM show a decline of 67% to 80% in the average amount of water in New Mexico\u2019s January snowpack, depending on future emissions scenarios.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In addition, state of New Mexico reports<\/a> estimate that flows into the Rio Grande above Elephant Butte Reservoir will decrease by up to 25% in the next 50 years as annual average temperatures increase from anywhere between 3 to 7 degrees. Other models estimate that the climate could warm even more.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While it is true that the state has made significant strides to reduce its water use since historic peaks<\/a> in municipal\/agricultural use in the 1980s and 90s, a disproportionate amount of the state\u2019s water is used for agriculture.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A recent report estimates that New Mexico uses an eye-popping 80% of its fresh water<\/a> for agricultural uses \u2013 including for dairies, alfalfa, pecans, and chile farming. Within those irrigated acres, most are irrigated<\/a> with sprinkler systems or flooding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The widespread technique of flooding fields for crops is a big reason why birds continue to visit New Mexico, even during times of extreme drought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cAttracting the cranes and geese really is a manufactured thing at this point,\u201d Davidson said. \u201cWe have to flood up fields, and if we don’t provide corn or supplemental food, then they would probably start to find other places to overwinter.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But in an increasingly arid Southwest, water policy experts<\/a> are wary of using scarce water resources to flood fields in the face of a drier future. Instead, they\u2019re endorsing more climate-friendly solutions like drip-irrigation to balance the West\u2019s increasing water appetite and the needs of wildlife.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Without water in the Bosque ecosystem, scientific evidence suggests birds might decide to reroute their migratory path elsewhere in the decades to come, maybe avoiding New Mexico entirely.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This story was originally published at KUNM<\/a>, a NMPBS partner.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

by Bryce Dix, KUNM News This story was originally published at KUNM, a NMPBS partner. If you live in the Rio Grande Valley, you have probably heard heard the strange croaks of the sandhill crane or the honk of the Ross\u2019s goose overhead when out for a walk along the river. 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