{"id":44093,"date":"2024-01-23T09:30:44","date_gmt":"2024-01-23T16:30:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newmexicopbs.org\/productions\/newmexicoinfocus\/?p=44093"},"modified":"2024-01-23T09:30:47","modified_gmt":"2024-01-23T16:30:47","slug":"even-higher-risks-for-the-southwest","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newmexicopbs.org\/productions\/newmexicoinfocus\/even-higher-risks-for-the-southwest\/","title":{"rendered":"\u2018Even higher risks\u2019 for the Southwest"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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Subscribe to Our Land Weekly<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
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Last week, a study came out in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences<\/a> showing that atmospheric moisture is not increasing as expected over arid and semi-arid regions as the planet warms.
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<\/p>In a press statement,<\/a> the National Center for Atmospheric Research, which is sponsored by the National Science Foundation, also notes that the \u201cnew study showed that while water vapor is increasing over humid regions of the world, it is not rising as much as expected during the most arid months of the year.\u201d <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The authors found that water vapor declined over the Southwest U.S. during the forty-year study period of 1980 to 2020. And, the authors write: \u201cThis is contrary to all climate model simulations in which it rises at a rate close to theoretical expectations, even over dry regions. Given close links between water vapor and wildfire, ecosystem functioning, and temperature extremes, this issue must be resolved in order to provide credible climate projections for arid and semi-arid regions of the world.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to NCAR, \u201cThe study noted that the situation is leading to an increase in vapor pressure deficit, which is the difference between the amount of moisture that the atmosphere can hold and the amount that\u2019s actually in the air. When the deficit rises, it can act as a critical driver of wildfires and ecosystem stress.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Need a take-home message? We already know the Southwest has become drier as it\u2019s become warmer. This new study shows that the problem is more serious than previously thought. <\/a> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cWe could be facing even higher risks than what\u2019s been projected for arid and semi-arid regions like the Southwest, which has already been affected by unprecedented water shortages and extreme wildfire seasons,\u201d said NCAR scientist Isla Simpson, lead author of the study.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"A
The very sandy channel of the Rio Grande in Albuquerque on Sunday.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, here in New Mexico, Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham is asking New Mexico legislators to approve a half-billion-dollar investment in what\u2019s called a Strategic Water Supply. <\/strong>(Just to be clear, this is very different from the Strategic Water Reserve<\/a>, which the Legislature created in 2005, or something like the Water Resources Management Strategy<\/a> that the Albuquerque-Bernalillo County Water Authority released in 2016.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The proposed Strategic Water Supply is focused on water for industry. According to a state document soliciting information about products, services, and suppliers:<\/a> \u201cAs envisioned, the State of New Mexico will purchase treated brackish water and treated produced water under a contract agreement with individual vendors. Initially, the State of New Mexico will utilize the contract agreements with individual vendors to facilitate expanded industrial uses of the treated water. The State of New Mexico, in cooperation with the private sector, will ensure the demand for treated brackish water and treated produced water meets or exceeds the supply side of the treated brackish water and treated produced water to minimize water storage requirements.\u201d <\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to that document, the state\u2019s purchase of treated water from private companies is meant to benefit \u201cNew Mexico and the nation\u2019s transition to renewable energy by providing resources for water-intensive processes, such as creating clean hydrogen, storing energy produced by wind and solar, and manufacturing electric vehicles, microchips, solar panels, wind turbines, and other equipment critical to the energy transition.\u201d <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Until the proposal hit the legislature, I hadn\u2019t seen any explanatory reporting around the Strategic Water Supply; the investment of $500 million of New Mexico\u2019s public money in private industry; or how the reserve will benefit ecosystems, farmers, and cities into the future, though KUNM\u2019s Nash Jones interviewed Capital & Main reporter Jerry Redfern last month. In that conversation, the two talked about the project\u2019s uncertainties. <\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Today, over at New Mexico Political Report, Hannah Grover<\/a> covers opposition to the governor\u2019s plans. And I know that one of my favorite reporters is working on a deep dive into the issue; I\u2019ll link to that story next week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Also in the news:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2022 \u201cTribes sue to stop work on SunZia power line through San Pedro Valley\u201d<\/a> (Henry Bean, Arizona Daily Star<\/em>)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2022 \u201cSCOTUS to hear oral argument on Rio Grande Case\u201d<\/a> (Danielle Prokop, Source New Mexico)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2022 \u201cNew Mexico Battles to Clamp Down on Big Oil\u201d<\/a> (Jerry Redfern, Capital & Main)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2022 \u201cState of the State: Here\u2019s what Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham said on environment\u201d<\/a> (Danielle Prokop, Source New Mexico)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2022 \u201cFEMA leader overseeing NM fire compensation fund to step down, agency announces\u201d <\/a>(Patrick Lohmann, Source New Mexico)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2022 \u201cRadius: The legacy of America\u2019s nuclear weapons testing program\u201d<\/a> (Marisa DeMarco and Derek Kravitz, Source New Mexico and MuckRock)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2022 \u201cLearning about land, food and ecology\u201d<\/a> (Lindsey Rae Gjording, Taos News<\/em>)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2022 \u201cFighting fire with prevention: City project works to ensure the health, safety of the bosque\u201d <\/a>(Tristen Critchfield, Albuquerque Journal<\/em>)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And Grist just announced the winners of its third \u201cImagine 2200: Climate Fiction For Future Ancestors\u201d short story contest. You can read the collection of short stories on their website.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Coming up this week on the show, we consider something that New Mexico voters prioritized more than 50 years ago. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

In 1971, New Mexico voters added a provision to the state constitution declaring that the protection of our \u201cbeautiful and healthful environment is hereby declared to be of fundamental importance to the public interest, health, safety and the general welfare.\u201d It further directed the Legislature to provide for \u201ccontrol of pollution and control of despoilment of the air, water and other natural resources of this state, consistent with the use and development of these resources for the maximum benefit of the people.\u201d  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

But some people who live in New Mexico\u2019s oil- and gas-producing regions say that the state isn\u2019t living up to the constitution. On the January 26 episode of New Mexico in Focus, you\u2019ll hear from the Center for Biological Diversity’s Gail Evans, the attorney suing the state on behalf of clients in the Carlsbad and Four Corners areas, as well as Jozee Zuniga with Youth United for Climate Crisis Action and Daniel Tso, former Tribal Council delegate for the Navajo Nation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"A<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Lastly, people use various terms to describe what\u2019s happening to our planet as greenhouse gas emissions rise and the Earth becomes increasingly warm.<\/strong> Some of the terms you might be familiar with include global warming, climate change, climate crisis, climate breakdown, climate chaos, climate justice crisis, climate weirding, and climate emergency. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

I recently polled some New Mexico scientists and scholars, asking what terms they use, and if they use different terms with different audiences. Seventy percent said they most often use the term \u201cclimate change.\u201d And UNM Emeritus Professor Cliff Dahm<\/a> added two others: \u201cI currently use global change most commonly in my professional life. There are occasions where I prefer different descriptors. For example, I find utility in using a descriptor like climate whiplash to describe extreme climate variability that is more prevalent currently.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

There are a lot of different reasons why people use different terms. As a journalist, I\u2019m always trying to convey information accurately and easily to the public, so I appreciated this answer from retired UNM Professor David Gutzler<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cYour first two choices [climate change and global warming] describe what’s happening in nature\u2014what I see in the data. There’s been some silly manufactured \u201ccontroversy\u201d over whether scientists should use, or formerly used, global warming (which doesn’t cover the full range of changes) vs. climate change (which includes natural variability as well as the changes forced by human activity). But folks I know in the climatology research community tend to use these terms interchangeably in conversation without making much fuss about using one vs. the other. Crisis\/breakdown\/chaos seem to me to refer to perceptions of the socioeconomic effects of ongoing anthropogenic climate change. As a humble (retired) scientist those characterizations take place above my pay grade.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, for now, I\u2019m going to keep using the phrase \u201cclimate change\u201d while continuing to report on how a warming climate affects pretty much every aspect of our lives. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

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P.S. If a friend forwarded you this message, <\/em>sign up here to receive the newsletter yourself<\/a>. You can also <\/em>read recent newsletters online<\/a>. And if you miss us throughout the week, follow <\/em>Our Land on Instagram<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Our<\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Last week, a study came out in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences showing that atmospheric moisture is not increasing as expected over arid and semi-arid regions as the planet warms.\u00a0 In a press statement, the National Center for Atmospheric Research, which is sponsored by the National Science Foundation, also notes that the…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":18,"featured_media":44098,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9876],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44093","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-our-land-newsletter"],"yoast_head":"\n\u2018Even higher risks\u2019 for the Southwest - New Mexico In Focus<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The Rio Grande Compact, signed in 1939, divvies up water between Colorado, New Mexico, and Texas.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.newmexicopbs.org\/productions\/newmexicoinfocus\/even-higher-risks-for-the-southwest\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u2018Even higher risks\u2019 for the Southwest - 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